State of the Hobby – March 2009
A review of the Collector Car Market in light of the current Economic Situation
Even considering the uncertainty of the current economic state antique and collector vehicles remain to be good investments. Over the past year we’ve seen the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummet from a high of 13,136.69 to a low of 6,469.95 only a few days ago. This is an evaporation of over 6,600 points or better stated, over 50% in less than one year’s time. How does this translate to the collector car market? The simple translation is BUY!!!
Current market indications are that while the wind may be out of the sails of the Dow Jones, the collector car market, viewed as a whole, is holding its own with bargains being reported from nearly every auction, which is a reiteration that we are in a buyer’s market. Overall, the collector car market has not experienced the same dramatic, marked decline as the Dow Jones. Collector cars remain a great place to park your money. Properly purchased collectible vehicles, if nothing else, continue to be an enjoyable savings account.
The collector car market, like any other free, open market, is driven purely by economics. The premise is simple: supply and demand. Given the current uncertainly of Chrysler, General Motors and Ford, collectively known, at least for the time being, as the “Big Three”, demand for stylish, desirable cars from their past will continue to be high, much higher than supply. It was announced by General Motors on February 20, 2009, that, at least for the time being, all sixty engineers of the High Performance Vehicle Operations (H.P.V.O.) have been “temporarily” reassigned. H.P.V.O. was the birthplace of high performance and specialty vehicles from GM. Therefore it is easy to predict that the future of desirable collectible vehicles from GM will be extremely limited. Over the years, the group has developed vehicles such as the Cadillac CTS-V, STS-V and XLR-V, Chevy SSR, HHR SS, TrailBlazer SS, Colorado V8 and the Saturn Ion Red Line.
Over the past several years we were blessed to see some great vehicles come to life from the drawing boards and auto shows and into the dealerships. These vehicles include the Ford GT, newly redesigned, Ford Mustang, the Dodge Charger and now the Dodge Challenger and Chevrolet Camaro. Other collectible offerings include the Dodge Viper, Chevrolet Corvette C6 Z06 and C6 ZR-1 and the Saturn Sky and Pontiac Solstice roadsters.
To collectors’ detriment, the recent economic viability plans submitted to Congress on behalf of the Big Three, predict a paucity of desirable (i.e., collectible) vehicles from Detroit. Instead of producing niche vehicles it seems that hybrids and alternative energy vehicles will be receiving all of the design dollars and energy in the coming years. You should be admittedly suspicious of this choice to design cars around the strings attached to federal bailout monies … hopefully this won’t lead to the insipid vehicles that came from Detroit after the smog regulations were rolled out in the early 1970s. Given the current unfortunate economic situation, headlined, by the Big Three’s struggle to survive, the collector car market stands to benefit exponentially by an increased demand for the past-produced models; especially the high-performance models.
To the true collector, the economy does not necessarily play a role in whether to purchase a vehicle. The true collector’s decision to purchase a vehicle is driven by price, desire to own the vehicle, and the hobby’s market…not the stock market. Buying with this in mind will result in a good vehicle purchased at a good price and a safe investment; or in the very least a good savings account. In contrast to the sharp decline of the stock market over the last year, to the best of my knowledge, we have not seen a single collectible vehicle decrease by 50% in value in less than one year’s time!
Bid with knowledge. Buy with confidence.
This article was written by Bryan W. Shook, Esquire the founder of Vintage Automotive. Attorney Bryan W. Shook is a devoted automotive enthusiast, but is also an experience litigator who devotes a large portion of his law practice to helping other collectors and hobbyists understand today’s market. Attorney Bryan Shook is available throughout the United States for consultation, advice, and information. If you’d like more information about this topic or would like to speak with Attorney Bryan W. Shook please email him at BShook@shooklegal.com.
